The simulation tested both options against the same demand stress at +15%. Building a new dispatch facility would have cost ~$2.0M in capex plus ~$600K in first-year operating overhead. Expanding two existing bases — one extra rig at each — absorbed the same demand at a fraction of the cost.
~$2.0M
Avoided capital expenditure — new dispatch facility deferred. Two existing bases expanded with one additional rig each.
+15%
Transfer demand absorbed by the recommended configuration without a single new facility — validated by stress testing.
5,833
Historical transfers loaded for validation. One full year of operations modeled — no synthetic distributions.